Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 18.611313 21.634608 24.938533 28.809848 33.213975 38.060465 43.789570
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.700692 19.120318 24.441280 31.281238 39.798540 50.009785 63.128820
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.526332 16.410944 22.763073 31.542207 43.259809 58.246085 78.728668
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.179790 14.126106 20.994584 31.082058 45.340598 64.563410 92.178448
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.365646 12.158676 19.217032 30.155741 46.411717 69.347657 103.730524
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.210852 10.919894 18.227433 30.101811 48.536153 75.587677 117.645740
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.362495 9.993900 17.534526 30.326240 50.980081 82.368507 132.768600
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.309554 8.531173 15.752582 28.551472 50.052349 83.893256 140.000809
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.908104 8.137870 15.676891 29.530647 53.570609 92.499879 158.734567
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.649177 7.960098 15.937678 31.085523 58.149014 103.103154 181.367082
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.121164 7.169053 14.976921 30.344449 58.685680 107.074435 193.426546
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.608075 6.315641 13.774968 28.997947 57.978874 108.831542 201.827372
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.482956 6.292263 14.237422 30.957769 63.652782 122.351312 231.904969
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.402893 6.363828 14.917285 33.455357 70.640129 138.862403 268.660553
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.131500 5.941646 14.506114 33.704799 73.348224 147.889065 292.813403
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.842240 5.415600 13.786761 33.210846 74.519214 154.140146 312.346986
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.563981 4.855679 12.899177 32.226458 74.564840 158.218046 328.073730
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.382584 4.512658 12.460282 32.168993 76.505136 166.062023 351.431875
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.240794 4.248634 12.169813 32.407201 79.082814 175.331573 378.146104
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.015718 3.687755 11.043354 30.522833 76.812287 174.639015 385.192810
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.949379 3.596535 11.119994 31.562554 81.183232 187.888965 421.007926
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.912422 3.591665 11.427607 33.213156 87.100655 204.777903 465.274079
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.789227 3.270971 10.812261 32.426520 87.238327 209.378365 484.458073